Every economic and political activity is a bubble. All are doomed to burst. Our job is to be sure that our own soul does not become such a doomed structure. The only way to do that job is to stay close to God. In the meantime, most of us spend a lot of time and effort keeping our own bubble inflated.
We may develop a tendency to look at the activities of others as bubbles in various stages of growth and shrinkage. Asking, “What stage is that bubble in?” is a helpful question when we analyze or make investments.
When we see a bubble that’s propped up by bribes, for instance the Global Warming Bubble, as soon as we are aware of exaggerations and untruths, we should realize, “This bubble is going to burst!”. That realization should prompt a couple of reactions.
First of all, we don’t want to have any long-term money in a bubble headed for bursting. But, it often takes years for a big bubble to collapse. In that time, money can be made. If one waits too long to exit the bubble, one can lose everything.
The second, and riskiest stage of a bubble is when it becomes obvious that bribes are being paid to keep the bubble afloat. The bigger the bribes, the bigger the bubble, and the bigger the burst.
Identifying Bubbles
All bubbles are accompanied by public relation shills. Throughout the ages, press releases, speeches, print articles, town criers, conversations, and widely disseminated information about the subject show that a bubble is being blown. Our job is to ask the ancient Roman question, “Qui bono?”, “Who benefits?” when we hear some new solution that’s sure to help us all.
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Analyzing that will show us the financial strength behind the bubble. Some bubbles, like John Jacob Astor’s fur empire, can be transformed into real estate kingdoms that go on for generations. Others, like the Global Warming Fraud, last for less than a decade. As soon as moderate elected officials begin to question a bubble, its funding is at risk. It’s collapse, or transformation into another bubble, is near. That process is going on now, as Global Warming morphs into “Climate Change”.
If the bubble enhances the strength of the government, as does Social Security or the EPA, it can go on for several generations.
The biggest bubble to collapse in our lifetimes was the Soviet Union. The “Red Bubble” has spawned countless green bubbles. They, too, will be replaced by other bubbles.
Getting Beyond Bubbles
Those involved in bubbles get good at profiting from their growing and bursting. Excessively devoting ourselves to bubbles keeps us from realizing that the only bubble that hasn’t burst is The Roman Catholic Church. It has survived the long-lasting “Roman Empire Bubble”, and all the subsequent bubbles.
The Roman Catholic Church has operated with the same name, at the same location, longer than any other institution on earth. It pays to think about how that happened.